Continuous Assessment Requirement




           EF309 Risk Management Continuous Assessment 2021

                                         Individual Assignment & Report


Its 1st January 2021, you’re a wealth management advisor- specific focus on financial risk management, to an Irish family which has a substantial investment portfolio.


Continuous Assessment Requirement:

You are required to prepare a report for the family presenting your analysis, advice and recommendations on some risk management issues facing their global wealth portfolio.   


The report should be @2,500  words in length, excluding list of contents, data appendix etc.. There should be a Data Appendix showing your workings.


You should employ the risk management tools, techniques and metrics from our module materials to conduct your analysis and inform your recommendations.


  1. Recommend a currency risk-management strategy for two foreign exchange transactions pending in 2021. Explain your recommendations and support them with data analysis. Use the data in Tables 1 & 2.                        (12 marks)


  1. The family has held US Treasury bonds since 2010, as a key element of the conservative part of the family’s global investment strategy and has a sizable holding worth approximately $25m in these assets., see Tables 3 & 4. Calculate the current value of this holding and discuss the risks associated with it.                                                                                                  (24 marks)


  1. The family has heard of the German Federal Government’s 2020 Green Federal Security initiative, and asks your opinion on whether the fixed income holding should be divided in two, and half of the fixed income portion of the wealth portfolio now invested in these new German bunds?


Analyse this investment proposition, make a recommendation to the family and explain your reasoning, supported by data analysis.  Table 4.  below sets out the details of the German Federal Government Green Securities which could be invested in.                                                                                       (22 marks)





  1. One member of the family believes passionately that US equities represent the last bastion of safety and value in global financial markets in the current uncertain world and insists that a new investment of $ 25m in two stocks, at the very minimum, be made in 2021.


You are not convinced by this idea but as the family insists, will propose three different possible 2-stock US equity portfolios for the family to begin its US equity investment activity. These portfolios should address a spectrum of low risk to high risk. You may select any stocks from the S&P500 index and should support your recommendation with data analysis and explain your reasoning.

(22 Marks)






Notes for Individual Sections.

Q 1. Details of the Foreign Exchange Transactions pending


Table 1.

1(a.) A payment of £13million must be made in 90 days-time to Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC) UK, in respect of final settlement of a protracted legal dispute regarding legacy tax issues dating from property disposals made on behalf of the family in the early 2000’s.


The FX desk at the family’s commercial bank forecasts that the spot £ STG/€ exchange rate will be £0.8400 per € Euro in 90 days.


Current spot rate:                                            £0.8600 per € Euro

90-day forward rate:                                      £0.8693 per € Euro

120-day forward rate:                                    £0.8650 per € Euro


UK Deposit Rate (annual %)                        1.20%

UK Borrowing Rate (annual %)                   1.50%


Euro Deposit Rate (annual %)                     0.10%

Euro Borrowing Rate (annual %)                                0.50%


Family W.A.C.C (ann. %)                                               3.6%


Put option available: Premium                   1.50%    Strike price £0.8800 per €

Call option available: Premium                   1.50%    Strike price £0.8800 per €










Table 2.

1(b.) The family has recently liquidated its property portfolio in California and Florida as adverse climate events have led a re-evaluation of the value of maintaining this property portfolio in the long-run. Settlement of US $17.5m is due in 90 days.


The FX desk at the family’s commercial bank forecasts that the spot $ USD/€ exchange rate will be USD $ 1.17 per € Euro in 90 days.


Current spot rate:                                            USD $1.190 per € Euro

60-day forward rate:                                      USD $1.210 per € Euro

90-day forward rate:                                      USD $1.215 per € Euro


US Deposit Rate (annual %)                         2.00%

US Borrowing Rate (annual %)                   2.50%


Euro Deposit Rate (annual %)                     0.10%

Euro Borrowing Rate (annual %)                                0.50%


Family W.A.C.C (ann. %)                                               3.6%


Put option available: Premium                   1.50%    Strike price USD $ 1.22 per €

Call option available: Premium                   1.50%    Strike price USD $ 1.22 per €



  1. 2 The family’s US debt portfolio consists of the following (hypothetical) T. Bonds.


Table 3.

Bonds & Money Market (short-dated) US Treasury Securities       Nominal Amount ($m)

3-mth Bill US Department of the Treasury                                               5,000,000

6-mth Bill US Department of the Treasury                                               3,000,000

2% US Department of the Treasury 2021                                                 4,000,000

3% US Department of the Treasury 2022                                                   4,000,000

4% US Department of the Treasury 2029                                                   4,000,000

5% US Department of the Treasury 2036                                                   5,000,000


*Assume all bonds follow calendar year. Eg 2% US Department of the Treasury 2021 matures (is redeemed) at 31.12.2021, so is a 1-year maturity bond at present and that all bonds pay their coupon to investor semi-annually.



The following interest rates apply in the US market.


Table 4.

US Zero’s – US Interest Rates:

Maturity:             3-mths                  6-mths               12mths

Yield:                     0.45%                    0.65%                    0.80%





Notes for Individual Sections contd.

Q 3. (Hypothetical) German Federal Government’s Green Federal Securities available


Table 5.

Notional German Federal Government’s Green Federal Securities

0%  Bundesrepublic Deutschland 2025

0%  Bundesrepublic Deutschland 2030

1%  Bundesrepublic Deutschland 2035

1%  Bundesrepublic Deutschland 2038

1%  Bundesrepublik Deutschland 2040


Submit your report via Loop You must show your calculations to receive full credit. USE APPENDICES TO the report to PRESENT WORK DONE IN EXCEL/OTHER CALCULATIONS.

Do not attach excel sheets, they form no part of a report.

















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